2020 Underachiever Series Part Four: Victor Robles and Yoan Moncada

To recap the articles so far, I buy Cody Bellinger and Yordan Alvarez as values, sell Keston Hiura, and fall somewhere in the middle with Gleyber Torres and Austin Meadows. Victor Robles  Age: 23 2020 Yahoo preseason rank: 62  2020 final rank: 568 2021 ADP: 155 The former MLB.com #4 overall prospect held risk coming into last year due to batting at the end of the Nationals lineup and having atrocious StatCast numbers in 2019. His 91 wRC+ that year also raised questions about his caliber as a hitter. But in fantasy baseball, mediocre real-life players like Jonathan Villar can…

2020 Underachiever Series Part Three: Austin Meadows and Keston Hiura

by Mickey Bell We looked at Gleyber Torres in part one and Cody Bellinger and Yordan Alvarez in part two. Future articles will discuss the remaining players in the above chart. Austin Meadows – OF – Tampa Bay Rays Age: 25 2020 Yahoo preseason rank: 39 2020 final rank: 707 2021 ADP: 84 After having 33 HR, 12 steals, and a 0.291 average in 2019, Meadows ended the 2020 season with a 0.205 average and 0.667 OPS in just 36 games. After being a StatCast standout in his breakout season, his K% and Hard% both dropped by about 10%. He…

2020 Underachiever Series Part Two: Cody Bellinger and Yordan Alvarez

by Mickey Bell This is part two in a series where we examine players who struggled in the shortened 2020 season. We started with Gleyber Torres and you can check out that article here. Other underachievers 25 and younger discussed in future articles include: Austin Meadows, Keston Hiura, Victor Robles, and Yoan Moncada. Then we will move on to players in their “prime” age (Christian Yelich, Alex Bregman, Ketel Marte, Javier Baez, Kris Bryant, Joey Gallo, Josh Bell, Gary Sanchez) and then players aged 30 or older (Jose Altuve, Nolan Arenado, Anthony Rizzo, JD Martinez) to wrap up the series. Cody…

2020 Underachiever Series Part One: Gleyber Torres

by Mickey Bell Lots of proven stars struggled in the 60 game 2020 MLB season. Which players’ down seasons portend a long term downward trend? Which players simply had bad luck due to small sample size and/or injuries/illness? As every player listed above gets drafted later than last year, some will end up being great values that help carry your team. We will start the series by discussing the young underachievers aged 25 years or younger and specifically Gleyber Torres. Other underachievers  discussed in future articles include: Cody Bellinger, Yordan Alvarez, Austin Meadows, Keston Hiura, Victor Robles, and Yoan Moncada.…

Waiver Wire Catcher Pickups: Streaming Options for the Week of August 17, 2020

by Mickey Bell All ownership percentages are taken from Yahoo as of August 16. >10% Roberto Perez (5% owned) Perez, who finally got a chance to start in 2019 after Yan Gomes was traded to the Nationals, rewarded Cleveland with 24 HR and a 0.774 OPS. His barrel rate was in the 76th percentile last year. According to Cleveland’s manager Tito Francona, Perez is expected to return on Tuesday from a shoulder injury that has limited him to 3 games in 2020. While he will probably be a detriment to your average, Perez should get you plenty of home runs.…

NL CENTRAL HITTERS WHO BENEFIT FROM THE UNIVERSAL DH

Ian Happ (NFBC ADP since 4/15: 256; Yahoo % Owned: 43%): Happ dropped his K% from 36% in 2018 to 25% last year. He always nears the top of the majors in barrels, and he steals around 10 bags per year. With the DH, the Cubs can let Albert Almora keep some of his defensive duties while getting Kyle Schwarber, Jason Heyward, and Happ at bats. Victor Caratini (ADP: 590; Owned: 1%): The switch-hitting Caratini is a very solid hitter who was one of the biggest catching prospects a few years back. Most teams will carry three or more catchers,…

NL EAST HITTERS WHO BENEFIT FROM THE UNIVERSAL DH

Atlanta Braves Austin Riley (NFBC ADP since 4/15: 317; Yahoo % Owned: 15%): Before universal DH talk, it seemed like Johan Camargo would win the 3B job in Atlanta. But Riley hit well in spring training (1.000 OPS) way back when and had vastly cut down on his strikeouts in that small sample size. Ender Inciarte (ADP: 506; Owned: 2%): The universal DH would allow the Braves to put Inciarte, their best defensive center fielder, on the field and move Ronald Acuna to a corner outfield spot. No hitting pitcher also means guys like Inciarte at the bottom of the…

ANALYZING SOME CONTACT MANAGING PITCHERS (PT. 1)

Rich Hill – Minnesota Twins (NFBC ADP since 4/15: 265) Credit: Baseballsavant.com After Hill had elbow surgery back in November with a June 2020 return date, it made sense he was being drafted well past the top 400. But barring a setback, the 40 year old should benefit from an early July start more than almost any other player. From 2015 to 2019, Rich Hill recorded a 2.91 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, and 10.7 K/9. He had a slightly lucky 2.45 ERA last year (xERA: 3.15) and the long ball against righties was a big concern in 2019, but those homers…

AROUND THE HORN: TALKIN ‘BOUT “MY GUYS” (2020 EDITION)

Around the Horn is a recurring theme where we pick one guy from each position for articles or the podcast. Here are “My Guys” in 2020. Some players are expected to be high picks, but more simply represent a value in my mind. C: Mitch Garver (ADP: 124) Garver was amazing last year, but projection systems and draft position don’t expect him to duplicate it. Garver hit 31 HR last year in 359 PA (plate appearances), but the highest projection on Fangraphs has him at 21. Garver was in the 97th percentile for Hard Hit % and was 10th overall…

GOD BLESSED BRIAN DAUBACH

A Poem by James Hare Waking, eating, traveling are a black hole lacking memory, It’s instantly a mid morning in Coastal Maine.  Golfing with my old man on a 9 Hole course, signed in as guests of Saul. When the tide comes in on 6 it creates a natural water Hazard. Nice shots are awarded with paternalistic approval that leaves a warm glow akin to the similar warmth of the Maine sun. Mom says the hole in the ozone up here is larger which makes it easier to get burnt. I don’t know if that’s bullshit or not.  Dad says…