2020 VALUE HITTERS ON YAHOO! FANTASY BASEBALL

To find values in Yahoo! drafts this year, I used Ariel Cohen’s ATC projections from Fangraphs, and calculated z-scores based on the standard five roto stats: HR, R, RBI, SB, and AVG. Depending on how many players you pick to calculate the mean and standard deviations, the z-scores will vary slightly, but you can see who is over- and undervalued regardless. Here are six of my favorite values based on where they are being drafted on Yahoo. Name Z Rank Yahoo ADP Difference Brian Anderson 161 255.9 94.9 Paul DeJong 109 200.4 91.4 Khris Davis 114 191.9 77.9 Jorge Polanco…

POTENTIAL TRADE DEADLINE WINNERS/LOSERS: MIAMI MARLINS AND CINCINNATI REDS

The 2019 MLB Trade Deadline is on July 31, and this year it has an added finality to it since waivers in August and September are no longer allowed. That being said, it might not be as active as some might expect because so few teams (especially in the National League) have thrown in the towel on their season.  Miami Marlins In the NL, the Marlins are the only clear cut sellers at 36-59 and 13.5 games back from the second wild card spot. However, they have nobody of fantasy baseball relevance except for Sergio Romo, who would likely lose…

Episode 2 – MLB Midseason Check-in, Fantasy Steals/Regrets of First Half

James and Mick discuss outfielders Joey Gallo (again), Bryce Harper, Yasiel Puig, Dominic Smith, Jay Bruce, and Mookie Betts.Later, they discuss Paul DeJong. Pete Alonso, DJ LeMahieu, and closer strategy in general while talking about their biggest steals and regrets of the fantasy baseball first half.Digressions include the Russell Westbrook trade, optimal lineup configuration, and how Mick got blocked on Twitter by a prominent fantasy baseball pundit. — This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app

USING STANDARD DEVIATIONS TO ANALYZE THE HOMER-HAPPY START OF THE SEASON

Every baseball fan and fantasy player knows it: homers are up, and steals are on the decline. Last year, MLB teams averaged 1.15 HR per game. This year, that number is up to 1.35 and the summer heat will likely make that number rise even further. In 2018, MLB teams on average stole 82 bags over the course of the season, or 0.51 bases per game. That number is at 0.47 so far this year, continuing a downward trend. Average Team Steals Per Game 2014 0.57 2015 0.52 2016 0.52 2017 0.52 2018 0.51 2019 0.47* *As of June 17,…

Episode 1 – Infield Rest of Season Rankings

James & Mick discuss surprises, disappointments, and just plain studs. Players discussed:C: “El Gary” Sanchez, Yasmani Grandal, JT Realmuto, Mitch Garver1B: Trey “Boom Boom” Mancini, Cody Bellinger (hot or not?), Freddie Freeman, Edwin Encarnacion, Joey “The Rooster” Gallo2B: Jose Altuve, Mike MoustakasSS: Adalberto Mondesi, Ketel Marte, Manny Machado3B: Vladimir Guerrero Jr, Rafael Devers, Austin Riley — This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app

CAN EUGENIO SUAREZ BREAK OUT?

Eugenio Suarez’s overall numbers were fairly consistent from year one with the Cincinnati Reds to year two. In a November Fangraphs article titled ‘Eugenio Suarez Is Who He Is’ (https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/eugenio-suarez-is-who-he-is/), Josh Shepardson pointed out that many of Suarez’s plate discipline and batted ball numbers were very, very consistent from 2015 to 2016.  In fact, there was no change greater than two percent in line drive, ground ball, or fly ball percentages or pull, center, or opposite field percentages.  Shepardson did point out Suarez improved his walk percentage from 4.3% in 2015 to 8.1% in 2016, which was more in line…

VINCE VELASQUEZ’S FUTURE REMAINS UP IN THE AIR

Vince Velasquez’s future remains up in the air. Can he figure out his secondary pitches? Can he be a starter? Or is he more suited to be a reliever? And the big one: can he stay healthy? Velasquez is currently on the DL. On May 30 of this season, he left a start against the Marlins with a forearm/elbow injury after facing just six batters. An MRI showed he had a “mild flexor strain” in his pitching arm and Phillies GM Matt Klentak said this result was “as good of news as we could have hoped for.” Last season, on…